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How Will Elderly Deaths Affect the Election?

As the coronavirus continues its merciless strike on America, it’s plain to see that those most heavily affected by the virus are those in the 65+ age group, which is a crucial voting demographic. So the question, as morbid as it sounds, is how the possible death of hundreds of thousands of elderly Americans will affect the national presidential election come November?

Typically, those in the upper age range are more likely to vote Republican, and numbers from the last presidential election in 2016 prove that. This would lead many to believe that if a vast amount of our older citizens are killed by coronavirus in the coming months, it will be the Republican Party who sees the most damage.

And some academic researchers agree.

According to Politico, “Academic researchers writing in a little-noticed public administration journal – Administrative Theory & Praxis – conclude that when considering nothing other than the tens of thousands of deaths projected from the virus, demographic shifts alone could be enough to swing crucial states to Joe Biden this fall.”

The lead author of the study and a professor of management at Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi said in an interview, “The pandemic is going to take a greater toll on the conservative electorate leading into the election – and that’s simply just a calculation of age. The virus is killing more older voters, and in many states, that’s the key to a GOP victory.”

According to the group’s research, it is “projected that even with shelter-in-place orders remaining in effect, about 11,000 more Republicans than Democrats who are 65 and older could die before the election in both Michigan and North Carolina. In Pennsylvania, should the state return to using only social distancing to fight infections, over 13,000 more Republican than Democratic voters in that age category could be lost.”

Now, at first glance, this certainly doesn’t appear to look good for those of us who sway to the right. However, there are some important things to point out.

First of all, Johnson admits that the numbers used in the study were based on very early projections that have turned out to be much higher than the actual numbers in those states so far. If we were to apply those same findings to more realistic numbers, based on the White House’s current worst-case model, the results are quite different.

It projects that about 240,000 people will die from the virus. So if 75% of those are 65 or older, spread throughout the US, it means only about 5,400 of those deaths would be in Michigan. And with a new Fox News poll in Michigan showing that Biden leads by eight points or so, it means the difference in the amount of Democrat vs. Republican deaths would only be about 550, which by the way is not enough to win the state by in most cases.

But secondly, the author is also going off of information from 2016 that said more older adults voted Republican than Democrat. However, that might not necessarily be the case anymore.

That new Fox News poll that shows Biden winning in Michigan says that a vast portion of those votes come from those 65 and older.

“Biden’s 8-point advantage over Trump, 49-41 percent, is slightly larger than the poll’s margin of sampling error. However, both candidates remain below 50 percent and 10 percent of voters are still up for grabs… The former vice president owes his lead to women (+20 points), non-whites (+63), and voters over age 65 (+19).”

This is just another sign that the most significant shift from 2016 to now is the way the 65+ group has turned to favor Biden.

According to a National Journal article and a recent poll by Morning Consult, “65-and-older voters prioritized defeating the coronavirus over healing the economy by nearly a 6-1 ratio. And over the past month, they’ve become the group most disenchanted with Trump’s handling of the crisis.”

And all this leads to poll results that show, “Among seniors 65 and older, Biden led Trump by 9 points, 52 to 43 percent. That’s a dramatic 16-point swing” from 2016.

So besides the fact that we already know academia elites are usually biased towards the left, these points are showing the Democrats any favors.

From the looks of things, this is just another attempt by the left to say good riddance if Trump supporters die off. Too bad, it doesn’t look that will actually happen.

Comments (17)

  1. Trump 2020! Vote for Trump or else we will end up having more “economic intercourse” around the world.

  2. Biden says we need more economic intercourse around the world.

  3. Elderly Folks are not indoctrinated into Communism. The younger generation has been brainwashed through our schools. Look how many schools do not fly the American Flag in their schools today. When I went through school in the 1950’s, we had a Flag in ever Class room. Today, there are schools who do not allow the Flag on the school property. The virus today is helping the Communists to cut down on Voters who would vote for Trump Planned by them? You bet.

  4. That means that there is some “Voter Fraud” going on such as someone else is using their Ballot.

  5. The “dead” ones will.

  6. Somewhere along the way(during Obama?), this party has become hyper partisan and not interested in helping the American people as a whole. Anyone with some common sense could see this. The magic of Trump is he could get the one’s without common sense to see it too!

  7. Simple! . . . They WON’T vote Democrat (if we keep our eye on them). One Relieved Patriot. Team Trump and his allies 2020.

  8. ANYONE who cares about this country and don’t want to see it destroyed by the vicious evil democRATS MUST get out there and vote Trump in November. You have to be some kind of extremely stupid to vote for a democRAT who WILL tear down this country and the American people… Wake up and pay attention.. the democRAT polices will Destroy this country and the American people… Trump did NOT cause this virus and has done everything he can to try and fix the problem with the democRATS doing NOTHING but causing him problems… The ONLY ones tearing apart this country are the democRATS…with their vicious hate filled lies… The democRATS are Consumed with hate

  9. This virus doesn’t care who it attacks, young, old, strong, weak, white, brown , red, or yellow! And only those that are lucky and strong will survive. And as of now the best choice is staying apart and staying home and using caution when having to go out!!

  10. Your naivety would be amusing if it did not present a threat to the continued existence of the United States of America, the rule of law—which Democrats no longer respect or follow, the Bill of Rights, and the Constitution. Democrats no longer support the sovereignty of nations, and they have been working in league with the Deep State cabal to destroy America and usher in their one-world elitist-run Government—a freedom-ending dictatorship.

    Those far left radical power grabbers you mention now OWN the Democrat Party. They openly disrespect our flag, the Pledge of Allegiance, and our National Anthem. They take orders and bribes from George Soros and other billionaire supporters of the Marxist New World Order. They are pro-abortion, they support the profitable selling of fetal body parts, they push gender confusion—even involving young children in their gender-switching nonsense, and they have fiercely fought to preserve Obama’s leftist Open Borders policy that had unvetted migrants pouring into our country daily—many of them human traffickers, violent MI-6 gang members, and drug runners—placing a forever increasing financial burden on our resources.

    If you care about preserving freedom, you will not vote Democrat.

  11. Look where the deaths are the highest. They are in the 1) Elder care facilities where Democrat cheating is rampant due to vote harvesting. This is their playground anyway. 2) Blue States like New York and New Jersey represent a huge number of the losses. 3) Elderly black voters in Louisiana are not Republicans. Chicago is no Republican bastion. I think the Professor is full of crap. He is blind to what he wants to see, but I believe his expectations for the demographics change will be minimal. The virus is not targeting a voting demographic, it is targeting an age demographic. Even that is not absolute.

  12. Most Democrats are really conservative in beliefs, born of the fields, raised with respect for others, empathy, Christian, religious people, hard working and ambitious. Such were the immigrants of old, the core of the Democratic party. Today it has been infiltrated by the far left, Liberals, foreign ideologists, power grabbers, cheaters and the greedy. The true (often silent) American Democrats will emerge when summoned and they will in November. The current power grabbers and elitists currently running the party will see their exposed anti-liberty ambitions denied and their demise assured. Faith in God, Country and Family will prevail.

  13. Hope springs eternal in the corrupt Soviet Socialist Democrats’ wicked hearts.

    They are now counting on a sufficient number of Trump supporters dying before Election Day and thereby being unavailable to vote for Trump.

    They are also praying to their god Satan to magically and by hook—or, better yet since they ARE Democrats, by crook—finding a sure way to get that Pelosi-endorsed mail-in ballots fraud-supporting legislation passed into law before voting day to ensure that their illegal alien voting base can vote Democrat and often.

    Trump-hating leftists are wickedly clever, but their bag of dirty tricks will not work or save them. President Trump will win re-election. Enough Trump supporters—even those over 60–will survive the pandemic to vote Trump into victory in November. The economy will bounce back. The hand of God is upon Trump. The hand of Satan is upon the Deep State cabal and it’s corrupt, socialist, communist, pedophile, treasonous, play-for-pay, impeachment-abusing, human-trafficking, baby-killing, Satan-worshipping, cheating, lying Democrat shills.

    Trump 2020!
    Amen.

    Amen.

  14. The virus is a way of saving social security, as the number of deaths increase it provides the political elites to gape more money for their agenda. If we continue to get 80,000 deaths of people over 65, as it is showing the social security will save an average of $17000 per person. This then equates to $136 Billion per year. Less the $255 burial fee they pay out. I know that the Chinese Lab did this eco-terrorist act and it was funded by the U.S. taxpayer. Note that China has responded and is making and shipping iphones and other goods to the USA.

  15. Maybe that’s why New York is just letting us older people die less voting for Tramp did you watch the video on you tube

  16. BIDDEN SUCKS & EATS PANTS!

  17. Don’t understand why older voters would turn away from Trump to vote for Biden. It makes no sense. Besides, I thought older people had the wisdom of the ages and would know Biden’s a damn crook and a liar.

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