The Democrats have been dragging Trump’s name through the mud since the moment he took office. It’s never really affected him before. However, with the impeachment proceedings in full effect from the House and more mudslinging than ever before, Trump is facing an impeachment slump in the polls. Now, he’s diving into the red-state races to reverse some of the damage that the Dems have done.
There are quite a few governor’s races in the South where Trump is going all-in. It will make it possible for him to get some of his footing back in the states where it matters the most. These states include Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi. VP Mike Pence is even taking a bus tour through eastern Kentucky, which can help to decide the fate of Matt Bevin, the state’s Republican Governor.
The Trump narrative isn’t good right now as the Dems double-down on the impeachment inquiry while many congressional Republicans are vocalizing criticism of the president. If Trump can push some of his political weight behind Republican governors, it can provide him with the boost that he needs.
The three states with governor races are Trump-friendly. However, it doesn’t mean that it’s a shoo-in, either. There are two states where the Democratic opponent has a good shot. If there’s a Republican loss within any of these elections, it could weaken Trump’s political stance in the South, making it harder to get his 2020 reelection campaign back on track.
According to Henry Barbour, an RNC member, Republicans can generally when races for governor in Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi. This would provide significant momentum for President Trump. However, if we lose and all of those states, it would “clearly be a troubling sign” that Trump would need to overcome.
Trump has been talking to a variety of allies and aides behind the scenes in order to find out what’s going on within the three contests. He has also been in close communication with Matt Bevin, a longtime ally and a frequent visitor to the White House. The Republican National Committee, working closely with Trump’s personal team, is spending millions of dollars to help people get out to vote across the three states.
Chris Carr, the political director for Trump’s campaign as well as a Louisiana native, has also become increasingly more involved in this gubernatorial contest.
Louisiana, in particular, is going to be tough considering that John Bel Edwards is the current sitting governor, and is a popular Democrat within the state. Bevin has a reputation for being one of the least popular governors throughout the entire country, so it can be a struggle for him in Kentucky. Additionally, in Mississippi, there is a Republican nominee of Tate Reeves who is currently the state’s lieutenant governor and has been criticized for his lack of campaign skills. Although there is a conservative tilt on each of the three states, Republicans have never one across all three states in the same year, which is further proof that Trump has his work cut out for him in order to accomplish this goal for his reelection campaign.
Political strategists, as well as the White House, have calculated that Trump is going to be blamed for loss in the states whether he chooses to campaign or not. As a result, he has chosen to jump in so that he can at least take the credit if a Republican wins.
His team feels confident with the ability to pull off a win in all three states. Trump has maintained popularity throughout Mississippi, Kentucky, and Louisiana. If he is able to pull a Republican candidate across the finish line in all three states, it can lead to a bigger possibility of victory in the 2020 general election.
Even in Mississippi, where there is a well-liked Democratic candidate, the state attorney general, Jim Hood, even makes a promise that sounds a lot like Donald Trump himself – promising to drain the swamp.
Over the next few weeks, Donald Trump will be spending a significant amount of time throughout the southern states – along with Mike pence and many of the others on his campaign team. The Republican National Committee is also determined to spend the money on campaigning as necessary in order to get the job done.
There may be an impeachment slump, but Trump is determined to not let the Democrats win. Additionally, as more information comes out from the House about their lack of organization and the potential corruption involving the Biden family, it can give Trump the boost that he needs in order to overcome the impeachment inquiry once and for all.