The Democrats Are Going to Nominate Who?

Back when Democrats were starting to announce for president, the conventional wisdom was that the ideal nominee would be either a woman or a member of a minority group.

The theory was that Donald Trump had soured many Americans on the idea of an old white guy in the Oval office and that many in the Democratic base really wanted someone else to be elected.

Part of the reason for this assessment was a hangover from the 2016 election.

Many liberals awoke on election day believing that they were about to elect the first woman president in the form of Hillary Clinton.

They went to bed very late traumatized that Trump had been elected instead, the pain of which many have yet to recover from.

Believing the conventional wisdom, several women, including Sen. Kamala Harris, D-California, (who also counts as a minority), Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass, and Sen Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn, announced and began their quests for the White House.

Harris was especially touted as a possible winner because of her status as a woman of color and a reputation of being tough on crime as a prosecutor. Other candidates such as Sen. Cory Booker, D-New Jersey and Julian Castro checked the minority box.

Fast forward several months and the commentary has had been confounded by the fact that the top three candidates in the polls have consistently been white guys.

The first two are old white guys, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont. Early on, the number three was former Rep. Robert Francis ‘Beto’ O’Rourke, a man trying to identify as Hispanic though he is not.

Now Beto has been replaced in most polls by Mayor Peter Buttigieg, who at least has the saving grace of being openly gay.

Some analysts think that Democratic voters are shying away from female and minority candidates because they don’t think that they can win.

The reason that the white guys are leading in the polls is a little more complex than that.

Biden appears appeal to the more establishment wing of the Democratic Party.

He has a reputation of being a solid candidate who does not frighten people too much, who has been in elected politics since the Nixon presidency. He can appeal to blue collar voters and African Americans, the latter because his being Barack Obama’s vice president.

Biden is considered to be the candidate most likely to beat Trump.

Bernie Sanders appeals to the Bolshevik wing of the Democratic Party.

From “Medicare for all” to the Green New Deal, he has articulated a lot of policy positions that appeals to the far left.

Also, many Bernie supporters are still seething because they feel their guy was cheated out of the nomination by Hillary Clinton and her supporters in 2016.

They are spoiling for revenge.

The rest have not caught fire in the same way that Barack Obama did during the 2008 presidential campaign or, to some extent, Hillary Clinton in 2016.

It turns out that no one is going to vote for someone for president just because he or she is a woman or a minority. They have to have that combination of elect-ability and ideology that causes one to want to vote for them.

If the preferred candidate is a woman, a minority, or both, then so much the better, but an old white guy will do just as well.

Some Democrats think that a lot of men would not vote for a woman candidate, as a story on NPR suggests.

The attitude has not one iota of truth. A lot of men and women declined to vote for Hillary Clinton because they considered her a monster, someone willing to throw a 12-year-old rape victim under the bus as she did Kathy Shelton.

Most people will vote for a woman, as long as she is the right woman.

In the meantime, no doubt guilty about the cold shoulder their female candidates are getting, whomever gets the Democratic nomination, either Biden or Bernie, probably will choose a woman as his running mate.

Of course, the decision must be made with great care.

Otherwise, the old, white guy likely to be on the top of the ticket may find himself dragged down by a sub-par running mate.

Comments (9)

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  3. sleepy Joe Biden he has so much baggage. Trump will beat any of them in a landslide. The bookies at the casinos here in Las Vegas have put up odds for people to bet on the outcome of the 2020 election. Trump is favored 3-2.

  4. “Saving grace of being openly gay” Pete Buttigeig… GOD said: “And likewise also the men, leaving the natural use of the woman, burned in their lust one toward another; men w/men working that which is unseemly,…Romans :1-27 KJV Why one might as well tell GOD, HE Lied! I’ll say this: The will never come a day when Jesus Christ will apologize to Sodom and Gomorrah for what happened to them! Because IF HE, GOD does NOT expect payment for what Mr. Pete etc does, then He would have to, and THAT will NEVER Happen! DRAW your own conclusions! P.S. Conservative and free??????

  5. “MODERATION” according to a Noah Websters 1828 Dictionary says; “The state of being moderate, or of keeping of a due mean between extremes or excess of violence. 2. Restraint of violent passions or indulgence of appetite.” My guess is: IF what I said, even though itwas NOT based upon MY OPINION, IF itdoes NOT tow the party line so to speak…LOOK, Allow or don’t allow, BUT IF I am not allowed to have MY free speech afforded to me by congress…etc then I will just go where that “IS” still possible! I still STAND upon THE WORDS OF GOD, found in the King James Bible, and IF I am not allowed to speak as such…Later!

  6. No matter who is in the mix, they will have to lie and move towards the right to prevent the possibility of looking like the kook they really are. None of the potential candidates are fooling me, however. The scary thing is that the voters on the anti-Trump side are large enough in number to take the election. If the conservatives don’t mobilize to increase their numbers, our nation as founded, doesn’t have a prayer.

  7. I am going to make this comment, KNOWING that most will just gloss over what I say; IF and when, there is a woman or a minority elected to the White House, we will see complete DESTRUCTION! We already saw the way the last 1/2 and 1/2 did to this nation,and the next will finish the job of COMPLETE destruction! I make this comment based upon “FACT(s)! I know most of you have NO need or care for FACT, but the FACT I give you here is UNREFUTABLE! IT CAN NOT be changed or broken; here it is…according to Genesis 9:20-27 KJV There are THREE/3 Basic races of man. In the verse above, Ham, the father of the black man has a problem…he is NOT to lead, he is to serve! FIGURE it out! PEOPLE can’t handle the TRUTH! Then acording to Exodus 18:20-23 KJV we have the set-up/pattern for our U.S, Constitution, and there are four/4 parameters for who should be in leadership positions in that same govt! There is NOT one/1 woman mentioned! (There was NOT one/1 woman in congress/senate etc until after 1921, so why was that?) Seems someone already KNEW what I just read and took it as “GOSPEL”! NOW, they just went their own way, and NOW….this govt has come to a point of NO return! “But evil men and seducers shall wax worse and worse, deceiving, and being deceived. 2 Tim 3:13 KJV The TRUTH is NOT in them and they reject any and all TRUTH! P.S. I DID “NOT” Give my opinion here, I gave you what GOD said, as per the KJV Bible! What I think etc has NO bearing at all on this matter! IT’s WHAT “HE” GOD/JESUS CHRIST “SAID”! That’s good enough for me!!!

  8. Biden can’t talk for a minute without falling over his tongue and messing up so bad no one can figure out what he’s trying to say.
    He’s just an old idiot who has no business in the WH.

  9. Biden is an Obama holdover. Anyone with brains knows that those were the worst years in American History. Biden has his fingers in the China deals ($29million) and a run of the Mill seasoned Politician (Translated, part of the swamp) He embarrassed women who worked for him, prancing about his Home naked and swimming naked and they had to stand there and protect him! Time to stamp out Politicians getting very wealthy on Government Salaries and rather allow the people who voted them in to benefit from sound policies and opportunity for growth as President trump is doing. It took a Businessman to fix the problems

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